Tag Archives: presidential elections

Common features in indirect presidential elections and their effects: The case of Estonia – New publication in East European Politics

A new article of mine has just been published in East European Politics. In it, I analyse the effect of common features in the indirect election of presidents in parliamentary republics using the example of Estonia, 1996-2016. You can find the abstract below:

The effects of majority requirements, selectorate composition and uncertainty in indirect presidential elections: The case of Estonia

This article assesses the effects of common features in the indirect election of presidents in parliamentary republics. In particular, it examines the influence of majority requirements, selectorate composition and uncertainty on party strategies, using Estonia (1996-2016) as a crucial case for analysis. The analysis demonstrates that the lack of a plurality run-off effectively eliminated incentives for inter-party cooperation and strategic voting. It furthermore shows that shifts in the partisan composition and control of the selectorate from parliament to electoral college provided considerable opportunities for agenda manipulation. Subsequently, results only rarely reflected the parliamentary balance of power. Last, although overall indicators suggest greater congruence between parliament and electoral college over time, this proliferated rather than reduced parties’ uncertainty over the electoral outcome as non-parliamentary electors voted based on local interests and acted independently from national party leaders.

Read the full article here (behind paywall): https://doi.org/10.1080/21599165.2019.1604339

A Green Open Access Version will be available from the institutional repository of Leibniz University after the embargo period.

Party strategies in German presidential elections, 1949-2017 – New publication in German Politics

A new article of mine has just been published in German Politics. In it, I analyse different party strategies in indirect presidential elections focussing on the the selection of presidential electors in Germany, 1949–2017. You can find the abstract below:

Risk vs Reward Strategies in Indirect Presidential Elections: Political Parties and the Selection of Presidential Electors in Germany, 1949–2017

Parties across parliamentary republics compete fiercely over capturing the presidential office. However, they are often torn between seeing their preferred candidate elected and exploiting the election for publicity purposes. The German case, specifically parties’ ability to nominate extra-parliamentarian electors (EPEs) as part of the electoral college, offers a particularly interesting perspective on how parties balance these competing goals. While EPEs allow parties to boost their profile and strengthen ties with selected groups, they also present a risk factor as their voting behaviour is more difficult to predict. Based on a novel data set on party delegations in German presidential elections, 1949-2017, the analysis shows that – contrary to traditional assumptions – competition in the electoral college did not play a role in EPE nominations. Rather, party strategies were influenced by the varying signalling power of the elections. Parties were more risk-averse and nominated fewer EPEs during grand coalitions, when they were part of the federal government, or when federal elections approached, yet nominated more EPEs when they had a larger support base to reward. The results call for further comparative research on indirect elections and different types of EPEs in Germany.

Read the full article here (behind paywall): https://doi.org/10.1080/09644008.2019.1590549

A Green Open Access Version will be available from the institutional repository of Leibniz University after the embargo period.

EPSA Annual Conference in Brussels, 23-25 June 2016

This week I am at the 6th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA) in Brussels. I will present my paper ‘Risk or Reward: Party strategies and extra-parliamentarian electors in German presidential elections, 1949-2012’. In it I examine the inclusion of electors that do not hold legislative office into the state delegation to the Federal Convention (view the abstract here). More information as well as my original data will be available via runningforpresident.org in due course.